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Ultimate Cheating by Leverage

October 2020

Notes from Naval Ravikant’s podcast on how to get rich without getting lucky.

From the podcast

  • You will get rich by giving society what it wants but does not yet know how to get at scale.

  • As Danny Hillis said, technology is just the set of things that don’t quite work yet. Once something works, it’s no longer technology. So, society always wants new things.

  • Add in lots of code and media and podcasts and content to get it all out there.

    • The beauty is when you combine all of these three. That’s where tech startups really excel.
      • Where you take just the minimum, but highest output labor that you can get, which are engineers, and designers, product developers.
      • Then you add in capital.
      • You use that for marketing, advertising, scaling.
      • That is a magic combination, and that’s why you see technology startups explode out of nowhere, use massive leverage and just make huge outsize returns.
  • Every great software developer now has an army of robots working for him at nighttime, while he or she sleeps, after they’ve written the code and it’s just cranking away.

    • An army of robots is already here. It’s very cheaply available. The bottleneck is just figuring out intelligent and interesting things to do to them.
    • There’s the army of robots within servers and then there’s also an army of actual robots and people that are being manipulated through software.
  • A User Model for Social Software

    • Users:
      • Want sex. If they can’t have sex, they
      • Want food. If they can’t have food, they
      • Want fun. If they can’t have fun, they
      • Leave
  • You should try and get into a business where making Widget Number 12 is cheaper than making Widget Number 5, and making Widget Number 10,000 is a lot cheaper than the previous ones.

    • Technology products especially, and media products, where creating another copy of what you just created is free. Where they have zero marginal cost of reproduction.
    • Network effects: value grows as the square of the customers.
      • A network effect is when each additional user adds value to the existing user base. Your users themselves are creating some value for the existing users.
      • You should always be thinking about how your users, your customers, can add value to each other because that is the ultimate form of leverage.

Magic Combinations

  • Code
  • Satisfy primitive human needs (food, sex, fun)
  • Network effects (bots and users add value to each other)
  • Media (podcasts)